Oct. 30, 2026
🔥 2027: The Year of the Distressed Property? Why I'm Calling a Major Shift in Real Estate

By Dan McDevitt | October 30, 2026
I'm calling it now: I believe 2027 could be the year that distressed and life-event real estate sales become one of the biggest opportunities in the housing market.
Short sales. Foreclosures. Reverse mortgages. Estate sales. Senior transitions. Divorce-related property sales.
And while a lot of real estate agents are still waiting for the market to return to the way it was a few years ago, I believe something much more important is happening right in front of us.
The balance of power is shifting.
Buyers are becoming more selective. Sellers are having to rethink their expectations. Mortgage distress is increasing. And homeowners facing major life changes don't always have the luxury of waiting another year for the perfect market.
Now, before someone accuses me of predicting another 2008 housing crash, let me be clear.
I'm not predicting a housing crash. I'm predicting a growing divide between homeowners who can afford to wait and homeowners who need to sell.
And there are some pretty compelling economic signals behind that prediction.
1. There Are Far More Sellers Than Buyers in the National Market
Let's start with a number that should get everyone's attention.
According to Redfin's October 14, 2026 report, there were an estimated 62.6% more home sellers than buyers nationwide in September.
Redfin estimated approximately 1.51 million sellers compared with 929,000 buyers.
That was the largest imbalance in its records dating back to 2013.
The report also found that 41 of the 50 largest metropolitan markets qualified as buyer's markets under its methodology.
Think about what that means.
For years, sellers could put their homes on the market, attract multiple offers, waive contingencies, and sometimes sell for significantly more than asking price.
Many homeowners got used to that environment.
But when there are more sellers competing for fewer buyers, something has to give.
And increasingly, that something is the asking price.
Source: Redfin — Home Sellers Outnumber Buyers by 63%
2. Some Sellers Are Still Living in 2021
Here's where I'm going to say something that might upset a few people.
Some homeowners are living in fantasy land when it comes to what their properties are worth.
I understand why.
They watched their neighbors sell homes for incredible prices during the pandemic-era market. They saw properties receive multiple offers within days. They remember hearing about buyers waiving inspections and offering tens of thousands over asking price.
And now they expect the same thing.
But here's the problem.
Your house isn't worth what your neighbor got three years ago. It isn't worth what Zillow says. And it isn't worth what you need to walk away with.
It's worth what a qualified buyer is willing and able to pay in today's market.
According to Realtor.com's September 2026 housing report, 20.8% of active listings had experienced a price reduction.
That's the highest September price-reduction share since 2018.
Now, that doesn't mean every seller is unrealistic. Some are adjusting appropriately to changing conditions.
But it does show that the market is forcing more pricing conversations.
I've watched sellers get frustrated, withdraw listings, switch agents, and relist at nearly the same price.
Sometimes they blame the agent. Sometimes they blame the marketing. Sometimes they blame buyers.
And occasionally, the only thing they haven't seriously reconsidered is the asking price.
You can change Realtors 27 times, but if the price doesn't match the market, the result may not change either.
To be fair, nationwide delistings have not surged in 2026. Realtor.com's September report found that withdrawals remained near last year's levels.
So I'm not saying every frustrated seller is rage-delisting.
I'm saying that sellers who refuse to adjust their expectations may find 2027 increasingly frustrating.
Source: Realtor.com — September 2026 Housing Trends
3. Mortgage Rates Are Still Crushing Affordability
As of October 29, 2026, Freddie Mac reported an average 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 7.24%, compared with 6.17% one year earlier.
That difference matters.
Consider a hypothetical $350,000 mortgage:
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At 6.17%, principal and interest would be approximately $2,137 per month.
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At 7.24%, principal and interest would be approximately $2,387 per month.
That's roughly $250 more every month for the same loan amount, before taxes, insurance, and other housing expenses.
And buyers don't suddenly have another $250 per month available just because a seller thinks their home deserves a premium price.
Higher borrowing costs limit purchasing power.
When purchasing power falls, buyers become more selective.
And when buyers become more selective, overpriced homes face a much tougher audience.
Source: Freddie Mac — Primary Mortgage Market Survey
4. Foreclosure Activity Is Increasing — Including Here in Maryland
Now we're getting into the part of the market that concerns me most.
According to ATTOM, 227,548 U.S. properties had foreclosure filings during the first six months of 2026.
That's a 21% increase compared with the first half of 2025.
In August alone, foreclosure filings were up 13% from a year earlier.
And here's a statistic that hits closer to home.
Maryland had the fifth-highest state foreclosure filing rate in August 2026, with approximately one filing for every 2,530 housing units.
The Baltimore metropolitan area also recorded 167 completed foreclosures that month, according to ATTOM.
Those are real properties and real homeowners facing difficult circumstances.
Now, let's keep these numbers in perspective.
Foreclosure activity remains below historical norms. We're not seeing anything close to the widespread distress associated with the Great Recession.
But the direction is worth watching.
And if more homeowners begin falling behind while affordability remains strained, we could see growing demand for foreclosure-prevention services, traditional equity sales, loan workouts, and short sales.
Sources: ATTOM — First Half 2026 Foreclosure Report and ATTOM — August 2026 Foreclosure Report
5. Mortgage Delinquencies Are Another Warning Sign
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that the mortgage delinquency rate reached 4.37% in the second quarter of 2026.
That was slightly lower than the previous quarter, but 0.44 percentage points higher than a year earlier.
Even more concerning, seriously delinquent loans had increased for four consecutive quarters.
The percentage of loans in the foreclosure process also increased from the prior year.
Here's why that matters.
Mortgage distress usually doesn't begin with a foreclosure notice.
It begins with one missed payment.
Then another.
Then a homeowner starts juggling expenses, hoping things improve.
Some recover. Some qualify for assistance or loan modifications. Others have equity and can sell conventionally.
But for homeowners who owe more than the property can realistically sell for, a short sale may become an option worth exploring.
After handling more than 150 short sales since 2007, I can tell you that timing matters.
The earlier someone explores their options, the more possibilities they may have.
Source: Mortgage Bankers Association — Second Quarter 2026 Delinquency Survey
6. Maryland Is Different — And That Makes Local Expertise Even More Important
Here's where I want to separate national headlines from what's actually happening in Maryland.
According to Maryland REALTORS®, August 2026 home sales declined 8.5% compared with August 2025.
Pending sales fell 1%.
But unlike much of the national market, Maryland's active inventory was still 13.7% lower than a year earlier.
And the statewide median sales price increased 2.3% to $445,000.
That's not a market where every seller is suddenly desperate.
Maryland still has significant inventory constraints, and desirable, well-priced properties can attract strong buyer interest.
But fewer transactions, higher financing costs, and changes in local buyer demand create challenges that won't affect every homeowner equally.
A beautifully maintained home in a desirable neighborhood is not competing in the same way as a dated estate property, an underwater home, or a property facing a foreclosure deadline.
There isn't one Maryland housing market. There are dozens of local markets and circumstances within it.
That's why broad national predictions need to be applied carefully to Baltimore County, Baltimore City, Harford County, Anne Arundel County, Howard County, Cecil County, and the surrounding areas.
Source: Maryland REALTORS® — Housing Statistics
7. Why I Believe Life-Event Property Sales Could Become a Bigger Opportunity in 2027
Here's the part of my prediction that goes beyond foreclosure statistics.
Not every homeowner selling under pressure is behind on a mortgage.
Some properties must be sold because of life circumstances.
Estate and probate sales: A family inherits a property, and the executor needs to settle the estate.
Reverse mortgage properties: An heir or surviving family member needs to understand the loan balance, repayment requirements, available options, and deadlines.
Senior transitions: An older homeowner needs to downsize or move into assisted living, or a family needs to sell a longtime residence.
Divorce-related sales: A couple needs to divide assets and make difficult financial decisions.
Short sales: A homeowner needs lender approval to sell because the proceeds won't cover the outstanding mortgage obligations and other required costs.
Foreclosure-related sales: A homeowner needs to evaluate available options before the foreclosure process advances further.
As-is sales: A property needs extensive repairs, and the owner doesn't have the money, time, or desire to renovate.
These situations aren't all legally or financially classified as distressed sales.
But they share something important.
The decision to sell is often driven by circumstances beyond ordinary market timing.
A homeowner who simply wants to move into a larger house might decide to wait another year.
An executor settling an estate may not want to keep paying property taxes, insurance, utilities, and maintenance indefinitely.
A homeowner facing foreclosure may have a legal deadline.
A family handling a senior transition may need to make decisions regardless of what mortgage rates are doing.
That's why I believe this segment of the market deserves far more attention in 2027.
8. Real Estate Agents Need to Become Problem-Solvers
I've been licensed in Maryland and Delaware since 2004.
I've worked through short sales, inherited property transactions, estate sales, reverse mortgage situations, and plenty of transactions where the hardest part wasn't finding a buyer.
It was figuring out how to get the property sold in the first place.
Who has legal authority to sign?
Does the estate need court approval?
Is there sufficient equity?
Are there liens or unpaid association fees?
Is the property facing foreclosure?
Does the lender need to approve the transaction?
Can the family sell the property as-is?
These aren't questions answered by putting a sign in the yard and uploading pictures to the MLS.
They require experience, research, communication, negotiation, and coordination with the right professionals.
And I believe agents who develop those skills will be better positioned to help homeowners whose situations don't fit the traditional real estate playbook.
The days of assuming every listing will sell simply because it's listed may be getting further behind us.
9. Buyers: 2027 Could Present Opportunities, But Don't Expect Every Property to Be a Bargain
Now let's talk about the buyers who have been sitting on the sidelines.
I think there could be some interesting opportunities in 2027, especially for buyers willing to consider properties that need work or involve more complicated transactions.
Estate properties.
As-is homes.
Short sales.
Properties being sold because of relocation, financial pressure, or major life changes.
Some motivated sellers may prioritize certainty, timing, or convenience over achieving the absolute highest possible price.
That can create negotiating opportunities.
But let's be clear about something.
A motivated seller does not automatically mean a deeply discounted property.
Some estate properties sell at full market value.
Some short sales involve months of lender negotiations.
Some properties that look inexpensive need tens of thousands of dollars in repairs.
And foreclosure purchases can involve title, condition, financing, or occupancy risks.
The opportunity isn't simply finding someone who needs to sell.
It's identifying a property where the purchase price, condition, financing, and risk make sense.
The buyers who prepare financially, understand the numbers, and work with experienced professionals may be better positioned to recognize those opportunities.
My Prediction for 2027
So here it is.
I believe 2027 could be remembered as the year when distressed and life-event property sales became a much more important part of the real estate conversation.
Not necessarily because the entire housing market collapses.
But because several pressures are converging:
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Mortgage affordability remains difficult.
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Buyers have become more selective in many markets.
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More sellers are adjusting asking prices.
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Foreclosure filings and serious mortgage delinquencies have increased.
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Major life events continue to create property sales that can't always be postponed.
Does that guarantee distressed properties will dominate total home sales next year?
No.
But I believe the warning signs are significant enough that homeowners, buyers, and real estate professionals should be paying attention.
And one more thing.
If you're a homeowner facing a difficult situation, you are not a statistic or an investment opportunity.
You're someone who deserves to understand your options before making a major financial decision.
That's what this business should be about.
2027: The Year of the Distressed Property?
I'm putting my prediction out there now.
We'll see how the numbers look a year from today.
And I'd love to hear what you think.
Are we heading toward a bigger market shift, or do you think the housing market will rebound in 2027?
Have Questions About Selling a Property in Maryland or Delaware?
Whether you're considering a traditional sale, dealing with an inherited home, facing foreclosure, handling a reverse mortgage, or simply wondering what your property could realistically sell for, I'm happy to help you understand your options.
This article reflects my professional opinion and interpretation of housing market information available as of October 30, 2026. Forecasts are uncertain, and individual markets may behave differently. This article is educational and is not legal, tax, or financial advice.
I hope you found this information helpful. Every real estate situation is different, and sometimes a quick conversation can make all the difference. If you have questions or just want to understand your options, I'm always happy to help.
All the best,
Dan McDevitt
Dan McDevitt
President, RealVolution Homes Group
Cummings & Company Realtors
Licensed in Maryland & Delaware
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About Dan McDevitt
Dan McDevitt is a Baltimore-area Realtor with Cummings & Company Realtors and President of RealVolution Homes Group, licensed in Maryland and Delaware. With more than 20 years of real estate experience, Dan specializes in helping homeowners and families navigate complicated real estate situations brought on by major life events.
His experience includes probate and estate property sales, selling inherited homes, selling a parent's home using a power of attorney (POA), divorce-related property sales, foreclosure and pre-foreclosure situations, short sales, reverse mortgage properties, bankruptcy-related property sales, and selling homes as-is.
Dan serves Baltimore City, Baltimore County, Harford County, Anne Arundel County, Howard County, and Cecil County, while assisting homeowners throughout Maryland and Delaware.
Disclaimer: This article is for general educational purposes and does not constitute legal, financial, tax, lending, or mortgage servicing advice. Reverse mortgage requirements vary by loan type and individual circumstances. Consult your loan servicer, a HUD-approved housing counselor, and a qualified Maryland attorney for guidance about your specific situation.
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